The political scene in Honduras is still intensely contested as the November 30 election approaches. Surveys consistently show Salvador Nasralla and Nasry “Tito” Asfura as the leading candidates, whereas Rixi Moncada, representing the incumbent party, trails in third place with no indication of a substantial recovery.
Recent polls show that both Nasralla and Asfura are capturing the interest of undecided voters, considered a decisive segment in determining the final outcome. Both candidates have intensified their presence on the ground, reinforcing messages focused on economic stability, the fight against corruption, and governance, factors that the electorate seems to value in the final stretch of the campaign.
In contrast, Moncada’s performance shows a sustained decline. Analysts attribute this situation to the erosion of the ruling LIBRE party, criticism of its political platform, and growing citizen dissatisfaction with the government’s performance. “Moncada is entering the final phase of the campaign in a weakened position. Her electoral ceiling is evident, and there seems to be no room for significant growth,” said an independent political analyst. The latest polls place her more than fifteen points behind the two frontrunners, a gap considered difficult to overcome at this stage of the electoral process.
Voter preferences and economic orientation
Business, academic, and social sectors have pointed out that voters show a clear inclination toward options perceived as moderate and pro-investment, a trend that has favored both Nasralla and Asfura. The choice between the two candidates reflects a debate over the economic and governance priorities they will face in the next term. This polarization also highlights the importance of citizen participation as a determining factor in the legitimacy of the electoral process.
Global Oversight and Division
International observers emphasize that Honduras is experiencing one of the most polarized contests in its recent history, where voter mobilization will be essential to ensure transparency and acceptance of the results. The pressure for an informed vote is combined with the interest of external sectors in the country’s political and economic stability, elements that could influence the perception of election day.
The current scenario reflects a context in which the main contest is between Nasralla and Asfura, while Moncada faces an adverse outlook in terms of electoral positioning. The final stretch of the campaign is shaping up to be a critical period for consolidating support, defining territorial strategies, and ensuring the participation of key voters.
The competition underscores the inherent conflict between governance, the desire for steadiness, and the imperative for strong civic engagement. The choices made by uncommitted voters and how political factions address financial and societal difficulties will determine the nation’s trajectory for the upcoming period, within a framework where institutional credibility and electoral trust are still paramount concerns.
